Tuesday, September 22, 2026
Science

Mass shooting model identifies firearm availability as key limit on risk

Can mass shootings be forecast? Mohammad R.K. Mofrad and colleagues constructed an agent-based model of mass shootings within a Bayesian inference framework. In the model, a shooting arises from the intersection of three factors: the emergence of a motivated potential perpetrator, access to firearms...

Mass shooting model identifies firearm availability as key limit on risk
Image: Phys.org
Can mass shootings be forecast? Mohammad R.K. Mofrad and colleagues constructed an agent-based model of mass shootings within a Bayesian inference framework. In the model, a shooting arises from the intersection of three factors: the emergence of a motivated potential perpetrator, access to firearms and the presence of a suitable target population.

Originally published at Phys.org

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